UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr – Betting Odds and Predictions

By Ali Hammad May 27, 2025 11:11

The exciting UFC Fight Night event taking place on June 29, 2024, will see a colossal fight between two powerful light heavyweights—Jamahal Hill and Khalil Rountree Jr. Both are celebrated for their potent hits and aggressive striking, as well as their impressive winning streaks. This is going to be an electrifying fight and may settle who will get the title shot. It is more than just a fight between styles—more importantly, it is also a significant moment where both men can prove they are the top contenders at their weight class.

With more active betting, the bettors and the fans alike are closely monitoring stats, current performance, and each man’s fighting style to place great bets. Hill is a high-tempo puncher with quick hands and a puncher who fought for the title before. Rountree Jr., conversely, uses a crazy style of Muay Thai and can end fights spectacularly and brutally. People place their bets depending on strengths and weaknesses.

Tale of the Tape: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Here’s a side-by-side comparison of the key stats heading into the main event:

Fighter	Jamahal Hill	Khalil Rountree Jr.
Record	12–2 (1 NC)	13–5 (1 NC)
Height	6'4"	6'1"
Reach	79.0 in	76.0 in
Stance	Southpaw	Southpaw
Strikes Landed/Min	6.39	3.46
Striking Accuracy	52%	39%
Strikes Absorbed/Min	3.57	3.19
Takedown Defense	53%	62%
Average Fight Time	10:13	08:01
UFC Odds (avg)	-145	+115

Hill does have some obvious strengths. He is 3 inches taller and extends his reach further. He also lands more punches and lands them more accurately. Hill likes to throw a tremendous amount of punches, and this can become too much for foes—particularly a foe like Rountree who relies more upon explosive moments rather than continuous action.

But Rountree does also have strengths. He is more proficient at stopping takedowns and gets struck less frequently. And he also possesses legitimate knockout ability, evidenced in his dominant victories over Modestas Bukauskas and Karl Roberson.

Main Card Analysis and Predictions

In addition to the headlining fight, UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. also has a solid undercard with notable matchups across various weight categories. Below is a rundown previewing the rest of the fights on the main card and early predictions:

Ismael Bonfim vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (Lightweight)
Prediction: Bahamondes by Decision
Both are rangy and excellent strikers, but Bahamondes' range and smooth footwork might prove superior to Bonfim in a fight based strictly upon technique.
Curtis Blaydes vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight)
Prediction: Blaydes by TKO
Blaydes is a top-level wrestler who can take advantage of Gaziev’s ground defense weaknesses and secure a late-round finish.
Igor da Silva vs. Kyung Ho Kang (Featherweight)
Prediction: Kyung Ho Kang by Submission
Experience and ground control favor the veteran Kang, especially if the fight hits the mat.
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Mohammed Usman (Heavyweight)
Prediction: Usman by KO
A sleeper fight that could end in the first round. Usman’s power and athleticism might be too much for Abdelwahab.

Smart Betting Angles

If you are looking to bet on this card, then the following strategic advice can be considered:

Hill by Decision or TKO– Due to his work rate and conditioning, Hill should finish via a unanimous decision or late stoppage. Prop bets at rounds 3 or 4 might have good value.

Parlay Opportunities– There are good odds available in a parlay with Hill, Blaydes, and Bahamondes with fairly secure selections.

Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (Main Event)– Both men possess stoppage ability. Although Hill averages more fight duration, Rountree finishes or gets finished shortly oftentimes.

Underdog Watch: Rountree Jr. – At +115, Rountree may offer good underdog value if you believe in his ability to catch Hill clean early.

Over 1.5 Rounds (Bonfim vs. Bahamondes) – Both are composed strikers with low finishing rates early in fights.

Final Prediction

Though Rountree is a live dog with the potential for highlight-reel KO, the safer choice is Jamahal Hill. His technical style, reach disparity, and greater output will comfortably enable him to settle the pace and range. Anticipate Hill grinding out a win via decision or softening up Rountree for a late TKO.

Pick: Jamahal Hill via TKO in Round 3

Anything can happen as it always does in MMA—but Hill’s tactical advantage and consistency make him the favorite to win going into June 29.