Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Belal Muhammad: A UFC Title Fight Worth Watching

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Belal Muhammad: A UFC Title Fight Worth Watching

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Belal Muhammad: A UFC Title Fight W...

Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Few matchups in mixed martial arts provoke more excitement than the forthcoming bout between Shavkat Rakhmonov and Belal Muhammad. The two fighters have built strong careers in the UFC, and each brings something different to the octagon, putting them on course for impressive success within the welterweight division. 

Makdessi knew all about his opponent, a 10-0 welterweight from Kazakhstan named Shavkat Rakhmonov. He is a multi-skilled fighter with a unique finishing ability and quickly endeared himself to the fans. Meanwhile, the American Palestinian fighter Belal Muhammad has been grinding his way up with a workhorse-style heart and head.

Fighter Profiles

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Background and Fighting Style

At 6'1" with a maximum reach of 77 inches, Rakhmonov can improve his physical attributes by keeping the fight range, allowing him control over when things get started. He is very accurate and heavy-handed on the feet, leading to many of his takedowns where we see him best in submission grappling.

Career Accomplishments and Stats

Undefeated at 18-0, Rakhmonov has yet to go the distance in his career, as he's developed a well-deserved reputation for finishing fights. To be fair, he has had some quality wins over reputable opponents of late that would solidify his place in the pecking order. His striking and grappling are a tough challenge for anyone in the division.

Belal Muhammad

Background and Fighting Style

5'11" with a 72-inch reach, Muhammad is slightly undersized than Rakhmonov but makes up for it by suffocating his competition and having an insanely high fight IQ. He uses an orthodox stance and is volume-based in his striking style rather than being a one-punch knockout-type fighter.

Career Stats and Highlights

Muhammad comes in with a record of 24-3 and has become an almost unbeatable signal sitter since his last loss. His versatility to change and apply methods has allowed him to hang tough against top-end competition. He lands 4.39 significant strikes a minute, has a striking accuracy of 43%, and has an impressive takedown defense rate of 89%, which makes him such a versatile fighter with many ways to win against each opponent he faces.

Fight Analysis

Strengths and Weaknesses

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Strengths: He is strong and has deadly accuracy in his striking, which he uses to create opportunities for his unique submission-based grappling. He gains a good monarch distance by his reach.

Weaknesses: Rakhmonov has yet to taste defeat, but that killer instinct could be both a blessing and curse versus Muhammad. Still relatively untested at the highest level in terms of durability for a war.

Belal Muhammad

Strengths: Belal has great cardio and a very calculated game. It will be difficult to fight against such a versatile fighter who can stick to his pace and change tactics during the match. He does well-defending takedowns, which helps ensure that the fight takes place standing and should give him a sizable edge in terms of outpointing his opposition.

Weaknesses: Muhammad lacks uber-destructive power wallops. Most of his triumphs pertain from a photo surface or pounding by the pros. It could be a disadvantage if he cannot keep pace with the fight against a finisher like Rakhmonov.

Style Matchup

This promises an interesting stylistic clash in the fight. Rakhmonov is a finisher, and Muhammad has excellent conditioning, pressure fighting, and wrestling. If Rakhmonov can keep a comfortable distance on the feet and use his reach, it could be his fight to dictate. On the other hand, Mohammad will look to close and push much less, using his boxing engine to power his wrestling protection against and put on Rakhmonov with rounds.

Predictions and Expectations

This one should be a good oleé fashion slobber-knocker with both fighters looking to bring their A-game. With both fighters known for striking, Rakhmonov will try to put the fight away before Belal might have a chance. Muhammad, meanwhile, will look to survive the early onslaught and take it into deeper waters where his cardio could give him an advantage.

Favorite: Things to keep an eye on during the fight include how effective Rakhmonov is at landing big shots and whether Muhammad can avoid getting taken down. It will likely come down to which fighter can execute their game plan best.

How it plays out: Both men have the tools to finish here, so this one is an absolute coin-flip, but I like Rakhmonov's finishing ability. Nevertheless, if Muhammad can effectively execute his game plan and drag this fight into the distance, he could win a decision.

This fight is pivotal in the careers of both fighters and possibly the ultimate decider for how much changes at 170 lbs. In two different styles, they bring high stakes to this affair and are as good a matchup in terms of action, including the potential for drama on their own accord or elsewhere after it is done, as we will see all year.


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