MLB Rookie of the Year 2025: Betting Odds and Top Candidates to Watch

By Oliver Wiener June 18, 2025 09:52

oAs the 2025 MLB season unfolds, the race for the Rookie of the Year (ROY) awards in both leagues is shaping up to be one of the most exciting in recent memory. With a mix of highly touted prospects making their major league debuts and young players seizing opportunities, bettors and fans have plenty of reasons to keep a close eye on the top candidates. Updated betting odds reflect shifting expectations, highlighting favorites and sleepers poised to make an impact.

American League Favorites

Oakland Athletics’ shortstop Jacob Wilson currently leads the American League ROY odds, firmly established as the favorite with odds around -550, according to Fox Sports and BetMGM. Wilson’s consistent performance and everyday role have made him a reliable contributor, and he commands significant betting interest, accounting for over 30% of the handle in some markets. His blend of defensive prowess and offensive production makes him a strong candidate to claim the award.

Trailing Wilson are Kansas City Royals’ Jac Caglianone (+1200) and Boston Red Sox’s Roman Anthony (+1200). Caglianone, a versatile infielder, has impressed with his bat and athleticism, while Anthony’s recent promotion to the Red Sox roster has boosted his profile. Boston’s Marcelo Mayer (+3000) and Yankees’ Jasson Domínguez (+2000) also remain in the mix, though Domínguez’s comeback from Tommy John surgery has limited his early season playing time.

ESPN analyst Jeremy Woo notes, “Wilson’s steady presence and ability to contribute across the board make him the clear favorite, but players like Caglianone and Anthony have the upside to challenge if given consistent playing time.”

National League Contenders

The National League ROY race is more volatile, with multiple players rising and falling in the odds. Atlanta Braves’ outfielder Drake Baldwin has recently surged to the top with odds near +200, reflecting his strong start and everyday role. Miami Marlins catcher Agustín Ramírez (+500) and Chicago Cubs infielder Matt Shaw (+500) are close behind, both showing promising offensive and defensive skills.

Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitcher Roki Sasaki (+225) remains a favorite among bettors, thanks to his dominant pitching in Japan and high expectations in his MLB debut. Washington Nationals outfielder Dylan Crews (+380) and Pirates’ Bubba Chandler (+1600) add depth to the field, each bringing unique skill sets that could sway voters.

MLB.com analyst Mike Petriello commented, “The NL Rookie of the Year race is wide open. Sasaki’s transition to the majors will be key, but players like Baldwin and Shaw have already made strong impressions.”

Betting Insights and Predictions

For bettors, Jacob Wilson and Drake Baldwin represent the most reliable options in their respective leagues, combining opportunity with performance. However, the NL’s unpredictability suggests value in backing players like Matt Shaw or Agustín Ramírez, who offer longer odds but have demonstrated major league readiness.

Fox Sports’ Henry McKenna advises, “Don’t overlook the impact of playing time and team context. Rookies on teams with clear roles and opportunities often outperform expectations.”

The 2025 MLB Rookie of the Year races promise to be compelling battles between established favorites and emerging talents. In the AL, Jacob Wilson’s steady play positions him as the frontrunner, while the NL’s contest remains fluid with Drake Baldwin and Roki Sasaki leading the charge.

As the season progresses, monitoring player health, playing time, and performance trends will be crucial for bettors and fans alike. Whether it’s Wilson’s consistency or Sasaki’s pitching dominance, the Rookie of the Year award will spotlight the next generation of MLB stars.